Et tu, Jay Carney?
It’s not that he’s saying anything that the rest of us don’t already know… “It’s not going to be a good year for Democrats by definition,” [former White House press secretary Jay] Carney said. “The...
View ArticleThe Five Senate Races that will NOT decide control of the Senate.
OK, this is how you reinforce a narrative in This Town. You start off by writing something like this: The fight for the Senate majority is increasingly focused on five races: four controlled by...
View ArticleQuote of the Day, DOOM in Ohio-GOV edition.
This call is justified, I think. The New York Times: Just five weeks before Election Day, Ohio Democrats have descended into recriminations… [pause] Yeah, there’s no need to write anything further....
View ArticleDo not expect the Democrats to panic until it is too late.
‘Too late’ being defined in terms of what I would find amusing or seemly, of course. And the reason for this is simple: the Democratic party’s propagandists – both official and unofficial – are no...
View ArticleQuote of the Day, ‘Election 2014: Suck It Up And Walk It Off’ edition.
Frank J is in rare form here: …back in 2008, Barack Obama was elected president with a Democrat-controlled House and a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate. Many of us correctly knew this was like...
View ArticleTwo weeks in, and things are not going according to the Democrats’ plan.
Some interesting articles out there on Obama, and his influence on various demographics. Like, say, women: Female voters powered President Barack Obama’s victory over Mitt Romney in 2012, as Democrats...
View ArticleQuote of the Day, The Democrats Now Just Counting The Days edition.
Sean Trende wrote a very useful post on the polls today that the Democrats will utterly refuse to heed: The bottom line is that we have neither the data nor well-tested theories to explain what sort of...
View ArticleThree days to go until the elections. The die is cast. So CALM DOWN.
Put another way: “Ladies and gentlemen, please fasten your safety belts and put your tray tables back up into the full, upright position. We are beginning our final approach: our estimated touch-down...
View ArticleTen bad assumptions about 2014.
Oh, trust me, there are more. But these are the ones that most immediately come to mind. Also note that I’m not going to saturate this with links; this is an almost-casual observation/recap, not a...
View ArticleThe *worst* candidate of 2014? …I’m going to go with Anthony Brown.
It’s a tough list to beat: Bruce Braley (Iowa Senate) Anthony Brown (Maryland governor) Martha Coakley (Massachusetts governor) Wendy Davis (Texas governor) Sean Eldridge (New York House) Ed FitzGerald...
View ArticleAmusing thought about how 2014 hurt 2020 for the Democrats.
Let us assume – well, actually, I’m not assuming this; I’m expecting it – that a Republican wins the Presidential election in 2016. Also assume (I am not quite expecting this) that the Senate stays...
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Why the Democrats stupidly wrote off Louisiana too quickly.
As you no doubt know, the Democrats got their clocks cleaned last night in two House seat runoff elections and one Senate one. The question is, could they have done better? – Actually, no, the...
View ArticleWaPo uses the dread number ‘2006’ when discussing Barack Obama.
Everyone in the world – well, maybe not quite that many people – is talking about this Washington Post-ABC poll/article that suggests that Barack Obama has been merely spitting in the wind for the last...
View ArticleWhat if the 2014 electorate *doesn’t* reset in time for 2016?
Here’s the Democrats central problem in 2016: Seniors, who frequently voted Democratic over pocketbook issues like Social Security and Medicare, have migrated into the Republican column. White...
View ArticleNate Silver (translated): Yeah, the GOP is going to take the Senate back.
When a partisan writes something like this: “The past 14 years have featured a number of exceptionally exciting elections with control of the federal government at stake. This year, it probably isn’t”...
View ArticleDemocrats’ youth vote for 2014 looks like… 2010’s.
Yes, that would make Democrats frantic. Why do you ask? Just the one poll, of course – and note that it was done by a Democratic pollster, so don’t assume that ‘scaring the heebie-jeebies out of the...
View ArticleThe Inevitable* “Wow, That Politico Poll Is Awful For the Left, Huh?” post.
Not good news for the Democrats, five and a half months out: President Barack Obama’s job approval slump and voters’ entrenched wariness of his health care law are dogging Democrats ahead of the 2014...
View ArticleDemocrats stuck trying to duck Barack Obama without looking like they’re...
Drink the pain. Drink: The 2014 election is likely to give us many more moments of gut-wrenching agony and Democrats going all Apostle Peter on the president they universally supported when elected in...
View ArticleWhy it doesn’t matter, electorally speaking, that the public hates Congress...
Writing stuff like this actually does no favors for Democrats… President Obama has hit another low in another poll, but so have many of his critics in Congress. The latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal...
View ArticleThe Democrats’ 2014 problem in one sentence.
From a Hill article, discussing the Democrats’ current kitchen sink / spaghetti against the wall / Hail Mary play / spin the chamber and hope it’s the one without the bullet strategy they’ve adopted...
View ArticleObama administration quietly doing back-channel evisceration of Obamacare’s...
Point (July 2013): President Obama on Tuesday threatened to veto a pair of Republican bills in the House which would delay the employer and individual mandates for one year in the Obama health reform...
View ArticleWhen we want a *foreigner’s* opinion on the 2014 election cycle, Leo Gerard…
…we’ll let you know. Via RCP. Moe Lane PS: Don’t wait by the phone.
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So, it’s August, and it’s GOP +7 in the Senate.
Via Stephen Green: oh, how I love this RCP Senate average map. I might not love it so much if it hasn’t changed by October 21st, but for right now that’s a great map. Seven GOP pickups that don’t have...
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The American Prospect: Hey, so we lose six Senate seats and control. No biggie.
Ooh, I wasn’t expecting stories like this until some time after Labor Day: Link via RCP: the gist of it is that of course the Democrats will win back the Senate in 2016, because all of those young,...
View ArticleAt-Risk Senate Seats, 08/31/2014 edition (Includes DOOM calls).
Here is my latest At-Risk races… and there are DOOM calls. Hey, it’s Labor Day Weekend. Time to start in on that. Alaska Mark Begich High Risk Arkansas Mark Pryor High Risk Colorado Mark Udall Serious...
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